How 36% Win Rate Prints Money

May 1, 20254 min read
#risk-reward#strategy#no-bullshit

You read that right. We lose more trades than we win — and that’s exactly why this works. If that short-circuits your brain, good. You're here to learn how real systems make money without fairy dust.

THE MATH YOU’VE BEEN AVOIDING

Let’s say we flip a coin.

But instead of heads/tails, you get this:

  • When we win, we make 3x what we risk
  • When we lose, we just lose 1x

Now apply a 36% win rate:

Out of 10 trades:
  - 3.6 winners × 3R = +10.8R
  - 6.4 losers × -1R = -6.4R
  = Net: +4.4R

Boom. Positive. Repeatable. Not magical. Just math.


THE EDGE: STRUCTURE > GUESSES

This isn’t about calling tops or riding some influencer’s pump tweet.

It’s about playing one rule: “Never touch it unless it’s at least 2:1 R:R.”

But most of our setups? They average 3.01:1 — sometimes higher.

So even if we’re “wrong” 6 out of 10 times, the 3 that hit make up for it and leave us in the green.


TRADERS LOSE BECAUSE THEY CAN’T TAKE LOSSES

They:

  • Let losers ride
  • Cut winners early
  • FOMO into garbage
  • Run 90% win rate with –5R blowups

Us? We stop out. We move on. We don’t romance red trades.

Every signal we send includes:

  • Stop loss (pre-defined)
  • Take profit (realistic, not hopium)
  • Calculated R:R — never under 2.0

You follow the system. You ride the math. That’s it.


WHY YOU HAVEN’T HEARD THIS BEFORE

Because “3 wins out of 10” doesn’t sell courses.

But it does build equity.

If you want dopamine, go watch TikTok. If you want money — stack R over time.


FINAL NOTE: YEAH, WE LOSE TRADES

We’re not here to sell fantasies.

  • We lose a lot.
  • We stick to the system anyway.
  • And it prints.

36% win rate. 3.01 average R:R. That’s all you need.

If you want 90% win rate and ego porn — go follow someone else.

If you want reality-based trading? You're already in the right place.

Read something you liked? Then maybe stop lurking and subscribe for signals.